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    Home » The season turns in India’s favour

    The season turns in India’s favour

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    India’s economic landscape is undergoing a decisive transformation, one that is rapidly shifting the country from a fragmented, infrastructure-constrained market into a coherent and competitive global manufacturing hub. This evolution, prominently showcased at the recent India Mobile Congress (IMC) in New Delhi, signals a maturation of India’s long-anticipated “Make in India” vision, moving beyond slogans to tangible, large-scale projects and policy frameworks that aim to rewrite the country’s investment calculus. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s address at IMC on October 8th was not merely a call to patriotism; it was a meticulously crafted operational blueprint that highlighted the convergence of domestic demand, technological readiness, and reform-driven governance. By underscoring India’s leap from 2G-era limitations to near-universal 5G coverage within a few years, the prime minister spotlighted a telecommunications sector that has become a catalyst for wider industrial modernization and export readiness. This digital backbone is integral to India’s vision of becoming a trusted node in global supply chains, particularly in the context of growing geopolitical uncertainties and the consequent reshaping of trade alliances.

    The macroeconomic infrastructure underpinning this vision is equally ambitious. Transport minister Nitin Gadkari’s remarks on the scale and scope of India’s highway projects reveal a government committed to tackling the country’s chronic logistical inefficiencies, which have historically inflated costs and stymied competitiveness. The ongoing construction of 25 greenfield expressways covering 10,000 kilometres, backed by an investment of ₹6 lakh-crore, is set to drastically cut transit times and freight costs. The near completion of the Zojila tunnel—a strategic project linking Ladakh to the rest of India through an all-weather route—exemplifies a focus not just on volume but on resilience and year-round connectivity, critical for both civilian and defence logistics. Importantly, the government’s approach to infrastructure financing, which includes monetising mature assets with the potential to recycle as much as ₹15 lakh-crore into new projects, suggests a sustainable and scalable model that could alleviate fiscal pressures while accelerating capital deployment. This approach selling mature highways to fund new builds embodies a sophisticated asset-recycling strategy that is unusual in emerging markets but essential for sustaining momentum.

    Such infrastructural strides are instrumental in addressing one of India’s oldest and most persistent competitiveness challenges: logistics costs. Currently estimated at around 14% of GDP, India’s freight expenses are nearly double those of China and several advanced economies. The government’s target to reduce these costs to approximately 9% by December 2025 is both ambitious and transformative, given that every percentage point reduction translates into billions of dollars saved annually and improved export competitiveness. Achieving this will require not only the completion of expressways but also their seamless integration with railways, inland waterways, and port infrastructure, alongside the digitisation of freight and warehouse management systems, especially among small and medium enterprises. The digitisation push is particularly critical because the informal and fragmented nature of India’s logistics sector has long hindered efficiency gains.

     

    • “Best time to invest” is now: PM Modi’s IMC address pairs a market of scale with export-ready 4G/5G tech and a clearer reforms pipeline.
    • Concrete economics: 25 greenfield expressways (10,000km; ₹6 lakh-crore) + Zojila 75–80% complete = faster, cheaper, safer corridors.
    • Single-digit logistics: Target ~9% by Dec 2025—an underappreciated competitiveness lever for exporters.
    • Chips, not just phones: ISM’s ₹76,000-crore programme and “Mission 2.0” widen incentives from fabs to design and advanced materials.
    • Monetise to multiply: Asset recycling could unlock up to ₹15 lakh-crore for new projects—first-generation roads funding the second.

    Beyond transport and telecom, India is also making a strategic play in the semiconductor sector, a critical frontier that adds depth and resilience to its manufacturing ecosystem. The India Semiconductor Mission has rolled out a ₹76,000-crore incentive programme designed to catalyse investments not only in chip fabrication plants (fabs) but also in packaging, testing, and design capabilities. The mission’s emphasis on design-linked subsidies and the emerging “Mission 2.0” initiative, which seeks to incorporate next-generation materials such as silicon carbide, signals a forward-looking approach that anticipates the technological demands of future electronics industries. India’s semiconductor ambitions are not merely about domestic self-sufficiency; they are about positioning the country as an attractive alternative manufacturing base for global firms seeking to diversify away from traditional hubs such as Taiwan and South Korea. The growing deal pipeline, increasing cabinet approvals, and enhanced bureaucratic capacity to manage risk and project sequencing suggest that India is overcoming some of the policy volatility and implementation challenges that have historically deterred high-tech investments.

    Telecommunications remains the near-term economic flywheel, where India’s vast domestic market and low operating costs—highlighted by data pricing at “chai-money” levels—create a unique value proposition. With 5G networks rolled out across most of the country’s districts and early-stage research into 6G underway, India is emerging as a fertile ground for device makers and network vendors. The potential to quickly absorb large volumes of devices is attractive not only for the domestic market but also for exports, particularly to other Global South economies where affordability and compatibility with Indian technology stacks could become a competitive advantage. The government’s framing of India as a “trusted” supply-chain node reflects a geopolitical wager: amid rising tensions between major powers, reliability in policy, power supply, and infrastructure is becoming a premium attribute for multinational corporations. India’s steady spectrum policies and investment in digital infrastructure are thus strategic assets in attracting foreign direct investment (FDI).

    Nonetheless, the optimism surrounding India’s industrial and infrastructural renaissance must be tempered by recognition of ongoing challenges. Land acquisition remains a painful bottleneck, with protracted negotiations and legal hurdles slowing project timelines. Urban permitting and regulatory compliances are complex and often opaque, adding layers of cost and uncertainty for investors. Furthermore, the ambition to bring logistics costs into single digits hinges on effective multimodal integration, which requires coordination across multiple ministries and levels of government—a historically difficult feat in India’s federal structure. Semiconductor fabrication, too, is a long-term game; the development of skilled talent and vendor ecosystems cannot be expedited overnight, and patience will be required. Yet, India’s evolving governance approach, which increasingly prioritises delivery certainty and cost efficiency over mere project count, suggests a learning curve that may produce more sustainable outcomes.

    The broader implications of these developments extend beyond immediate economic gains. India’s emerging role as a manufacturing powerhouse with robust digital infrastructure and improving logistics has the potential to alter the global economic geography. Multinational corporations grappling with geopolitical uncertainties in East Asia see India as a viable alternative for supply chain diversification. This shift could lead to increased FDI inflows, technology transfers, and employment generation across multiple sectors. Moreover, the government’s asset-recycling model exemplifies a pragmatic approach to infrastructure finance that could serve as a blueprint for other emerging economies struggling with capital constraints. The emphasis on building indigenous technological capabilities, particularly in semiconductors, signals a strategic intent to move up the value chain and reduce vulnerabilities associated with global supply disruptions. 

    In addition, India’s push towards digital and physical infrastructure integration reflects a convergence of economic policy with broader social objectives. Improved connectivity not only facilitates commerce but also enhances access to education, healthcare, and government services, thereby contributing to inclusive growth. The telecommunications sector, with its low data costs and expanding 5G footprint, is particularly transformative for rural and semi-urban areas, enabling new forms of entrepreneurship and digital literacy. This democratization of technology could catalyse a virtuous cycle of innovation, productivity, and social mobility. 

    In conclusion, India stands at a pivotal juncture where its long-standing aspirations for industrial and technological self-reliance are finally taking concrete shape. The country’s simultaneous investments in digital infrastructure, transport networks, and semiconductor capabilities represent a holistic strategy designed to harness scale, reduce systemic inefficiencies, and attract global capital. While challenges remain, including bureaucratic complexity and the need for deeper ecosystem development, the trajectory is unmistakably positive. India’s promise to investors is no longer confined to tax incentives or protective policies; it is grounded in the creation of a robust, reliable, and integrated industrial base that can compete on the global stage. This confluence of scale, systems, and sustained reform is the foundation of an investable thesis that could reshape India’s economic future for decades to come. 

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